\n
Diskusijos d\u0117l geriausio pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 kurso ir toliau vir\u0117 iki tre\u010diadienio balsavimo d\u0117l pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 Federalinio rezervo banko Va\u0161ingtone. <\/p>\n
Nors kai kurios JAV ekonomikos, kaip ir darbo rinka, yra gana stabilios, ekspertai teigia, kad \u0161iam stabilumui gali pakenkti galimas ilgesnio Irano karo poveikis infliacijai arba naujausias D. Trumpo administracijos padidintas tarifas.<\/p>\n
Pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 prekiautojai mano, kad Federalinis atvirosios rinkos komitetas i\u0161laikys savo Fed fond\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0105, kuri nustato daugel\u012f kit\u0173 skolinimosi pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 visoje ekonomikoje, dabartin\u0119 ma\u017edaug 3,6 % lyg\u012f, kuris buvo nuo gruod\u017eio m\u0117n. <\/p>\n
Nors sutariama d\u0117l pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos palaikymo, yra i\u0161orin\u0117 galimyb\u0117, kad balsuojant FOMC gali rekomenduoti pal\u016bkan\u0173 k\u0117lim\u0105. <\/p>\n
Daugeliui vartotoj\u0173 ir ma\u017eesni\u0173 \u012fmoni\u0173 dabartin\u0117s pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos vis labiau i\u0161stumia pinig\u0173 skolinimosi i\u0161laidas. D\u0117l to suma\u017e\u0117jo toki\u0173 preki\u0173, kaip automobiliai ir pramonin\u0117 \u012franga, pardavimas, kuris paprastai yra finansuojamas. <\/p>\n
Tuo pat metu infliacijos lygis daugiau nei penkerius metus svyravo vir\u0161 FED 2% tikslo, o tai dar labiau paa\u0161trino besit\u0119sian\u010di\u0105 \u012fperkamumo kriz\u0119. Ir nors kai kurie pastarojo meto infliacijos rodikliai prad\u0117jo ma\u017e\u0117ti, energijos ir didmenin\u0117s prekybos preki\u0173 kain\u0173 kilimo tempas i\u0161liko auk\u0161tas. <\/p>\n
\u201eKiekvienas m\u0117nuo, kai infliacija vir\u0161ija tikslin\u0119, dar labiau apsunkina amerikie\u010di\u0173 biud\u017eetus\u201c, \u2013 anks\u010diau \u0161\u012f m\u0117nes\u012f sak\u0117 Dalaso federalinio rezervo prezident\u0117 Lorie Logan, ragindama \u201ekukliai\u201c padidinti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas.<\/p>\n
Fed istori\u0161kai didino pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas, siekdamas pa\u017eaboti bendr\u0105 ekonomin\u0119 veikl\u0105 ir pa\u017eaboti infliacij\u0105. Kadangi infliacija atkakliai auk\u0161ta, daugelis rinkos dalyvi\u0173 reikalavo didesni\u0173 tarif\u0173, kurie suma\u017eint\u0173 kain\u0173 did\u0117jimo temp\u0105. <\/p>\n
Tarp prekiautoj\u0173 pal\u016bkan\u0173 normomis yra platus sutarimas, kad FED padidins pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas iki met\u0173 pabaigos. Pasak CME FedWatch, Fed Funds ateities sandoriai rodo 90% tikimyb\u0119, kad pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos iki sausio bus bent 0,25% didesn\u0117s.<\/p>\n
\u0160i\u0105 savait\u0119 per centrinio banko pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 nustatymo pos\u0117d\u012f kabo dar vienas klausimas: koki\u0105 \u012ftak\u0105 pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 didinimas i\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 tur\u0117s kainoms? <\/p>\n
\u0160iuo metu yra keletas prie\u017eas\u010di\u0173, kod\u0117l infliacija gali b\u016bti ma\u017eiau jautri auk\u0161tesn\u0117ms pal\u016bkan\u0173 normoms nei anks\u010diau. <\/p>\n
Pavyzd\u017eiui, auk\u0161tos energijos kainos, kurias suk\u0117l\u0117 karas su Iranu, ir Trumpo administracijos tarif\u0173 politika padeda i\u0161laikyti auk\u0161tas kainas vartotojams. Ta\u010diau ekspertai teigia, kad auk\u0161tesni tarifai ma\u017eai sumenkint\u0173 tokias geopolitines j\u0117gas. <\/p>\n
\u201e\u017dygiai (pal\u016bkan\u0173 normos) neatveria Horm\u016bzo s\u0105siaurio ir neu\u017ebaigia karo\u201c, \u2013 sak\u0117 turto valdymo grup\u0117s \u201eLPL Financial\u201c vyriausiasis techninis strategas Adamas Turnquistas. <\/p>\n
FED vadov\u0173 nuomon\u0117 apie tai, kas laukia JAV ekonomikos, \u0161i\u0105 savait\u0119 grei\u010diausiai taip pat taps juod\u0105ja d\u0117\u017ee, nei buvo pastaraisiais metais.<\/p>\n
Federalinio rezerv\u0173 banko pirmininkas Kevinas Warshas, \u200b\u200bkuris gegu\u017e\u0119 per\u0117m\u0117 centrinio banko vad\u017eias i\u0161 Jerome’o Powello, savo kadencijos po\u017eymiu padar\u0117 tai, kad FED m\u0105stymo apie pinig\u0173 politikos keli\u0105 nenukreipt\u0173, o tai labai nuli\u016bdino kai kuriuos rinkos dalyvius. <\/p>\n
\u201eChair Warsh komunikacijos tu\u0161tuma paskatino kitus politikos formuotojus kalb\u0117ti ry\u017etingiau\u201c, – sak\u0117 Gregas Daco, EY-Parthenon, Ernst & Young LLP vyriausiasis ekonomistas.<\/p>\n
Tarp t\u0173, kurie kalba, \u017einia buvo nuosekli, Daco ra\u0161\u0117 pastaboje: infliacija teb\u0117ra per didel\u0117 ir tarifai turi did\u0117ti.<\/p>\n
\u201ePo kelis m\u0117nesius trukusios infliacijos staigmen\u0173 kantryb\u0117 senka\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 Daco. \u201eJei infliacija greitai nepasikeis prie 2 proc. ir i\u0161liks padid\u0117jusi d\u0117l nuolatini\u0173 pasi\u016blos sukr\u0117tim\u0173, stipresn\u0117s su dirbtiniu intelektu susijusios paklausos, tarif\u0173 ar Artim\u0173j\u0173 Ryt\u0173 konflikto, papildomos politikos tvirtinimo reikalas bus ai\u0161kus. <\/p>\n
Kiti ekspertai optimisti\u0161kiau vertina tai, kad infliacija pasiek\u0117 auk\u0161\u010diausi\u0105 ta\u0161k\u0105 ir FED gali sau leisti i\u0161laikyti pal\u016bkan\u0173 normas dabartiniame lygyje. <\/p>\n
\u201eSu b\u016bstu susijusi infliacija ir toliau v\u0117sta, o darbo u\u017emokes\u010dio augimas \u2013 did\u017eiausia paslaug\u0173 s\u0105naud\u0173 kaina \u2013 n\u0117ra infliacija, kai koreguojama atsi\u017evelgiant \u012f produktyvumo padid\u0117jim\u0105\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 Angelo Kourkafas, vyresnysis Edward Jones investicij\u0173 strategas. <\/p>\n
\u201eBe to, paskelbti nauji tarifai i\u0161 esm\u0117s atitinka ankstesnius tarif\u0173 lygius, kuri\u0173 galiojimas pasibaig\u0117, ir netur\u0117t\u0173 paskatinti pakartotinio preki\u0173 kain\u0173 kilimo\u201c, \u2013 prid\u016br\u0117 jis. <\/p>\n
Naujausi prezidento Donaldo Trumpo tarifai \u2013 bendras 10\u201312,5 % tarifas de\u0161im\u010diai JAV prekybos partneri\u0173 \u2013 yra jo protekcionistin\u0117s prekybos politikos t\u0119sinys. <\/p>\n
Ta\u010diau jie taip pat \u012fne\u0161a naujo netikrumo daugeliui svarbiausi\u0173 Amerikos ekonomini\u0173 santyki\u0173. Keletas prekybos partneri\u0173, kuriems taikytasi, teigia, kad JAV \u0161io importo muit\u0173 etapo loginis pagrindas \u2013 pastangos kovoti su priverstiniu darbu \u2013 yra klaidingas apsimetimas.<\/p>\n
Pra\u0117jus kelioms dienoms nuo j\u0173 paskelbimo, naujausi tarifai buvo u\u017egin\u010dyti federaliniame prekybos teisme, tod\u0117l jie fakti\u0161kai atsid\u016br\u0117 teisin\u0117je ne\u017einioje, net kai importuotojai ruo\u0161iasi juos mok\u0117ti.<\/p>\n
Kai kurie ekspertai mano, kad tarifai vargu ar i\u0161gyvens teisin\u012f i\u0161\u0161\u016bk\u012f, o tai dar labiau padidins ekonomikos perspektyv\u0173 neapibr\u0117\u017etumo sluoksn\u012f.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
Nuoroda \u012f informacijos \u0161altin\u012f <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Diskusijos d\u0117l geriausio pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 kurso ir toliau vir\u0117 iki tre\u010diadienio balsavimo d\u0117l pal\u016bkan\u0173 norm\u0173 Federalinio rezervo banko Va\u0161ingtone. Nors…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2195,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2194","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-pasaulio-naujienos"],"yoast_head":"\n
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