{"id":1172,"date":"2025-12-22T20:39:41","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T20:39:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nordiccab.lt\/index.php\/2025\/12\/22\/bitkoinas-patenka-i-kaledu-senelio-mitingo-langa-sako-analitikas\/"},"modified":"2025-12-22T20:39:41","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T20:39:41","slug":"bitkoinas-patenka-i-kaledu-senelio-mitingo-langa-sako-analitikas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nordiccab.lt\/index.php\/2025\/12\/22\/bitkoinas-patenka-i-kaledu-senelio-mitingo-langa-sako-analitikas\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitkoinas patenka \u012f Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio mitingo lang\u0105, sako analitikas"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n
Patikima redakcija<\/u> turinys, per\u017ei\u016br\u0117tas pirmaujan\u010di\u0173 pramon\u0117s ekspert\u0173 ir patyrusi\u0173 redaktori\u0173. Skelbimo atskleidimas<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\u201eBitcoin\u201c gali suklupti \u012f labai sezoni\u0161k\u0105 s\u0105rank\u0105 ne tod\u0117l, kad Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelis yra tikras, o tod\u0117l, kad pad\u0117ties nustatymas ir viena i\u0161 t\u0173 sud\u0117tini\u0173 \u201ere\u017eimo\u201c prietais\u0173 skydeli\u0173 mirksi tokiu \u201ebuitingu, bet ne prakaitu\u201c signalu, prie kurio prekybininkai m\u0117gsta \u012fsikibti gruod\u017eio pabaigoje.<\/p>\n

\u201eCryptoQuant\u201c analitikas Axelis Adleris jaunesnysis pirmadien\u012f atvirai pasak\u0117: \u201eBTC \u012f\u017eengia \u012f Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio mitingo lang\u0105: re\u017eimo rezultatas yra auk\u0161tas, bet ne perkait\u0119s. Trumpi likvidavimai sustiprina asimetrij\u0105 pirk\u0117j\u0173 naudai.
Tai yra antra\u0161t\u0117s tvirtinimas. Ilgesn\u0117 versija i\u0161 esm\u0117s yra tokia: rinka yra zonoje, kurioje istori\u0161kai buvo gera i\u0161ankstin\u0117 gr\u0105\u017ea, o i\u0161vestini\u0173 finansini\u0173 priemoni\u0173 santechnika \u0161iuo metu daro t\u0105 erzinant\u012f, bet nauding\u0105 dalyk\u0105, kai mechani\u0161kai padidina kain\u0105, kai \u0161ortai i\u0161imami.<\/p>\n

Ar Bitcoin \u0161iais metais pamatys \u201eKal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio ral\u012f\u201c?<\/h2>\n

Savo pirmadienio \u201eSubstack\u201c \u012fra\u0161e Adleris j\u012f suformulavo kaip taktin\u012f s\u0105rank\u0105, o ne koki\u0105 diding\u0105 met\u0173 pabaigos prana\u0161yst\u0119. \u201eBTC rinka yra vir\u0161utin\u0117je re\u017eimo balo neutralios zonos dalyje, kuri istori\u0161kai rod\u0117 teigiam\u0105 tik\u0117tin\u0105 gr\u0105\u017e\u0105\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 jis. Tada jis priver\u017e\u0117 var\u017et\u0105: \u201eDabartin\u0117 likvidavimo strukt\u016bra ateities sandori\u0173 rinkoje rodo, kad vyrauja trump\u0173j\u0173 pozicij\u0173 u\u017edarymas, sukuriantis papildom\u0105 mechanin\u012f spaudim\u0105 pirk\u0117j\u0173 naudai.<\/p>\n

Taigi, kas tiksliai yra \u0161is re\u017eimo balas? Adleris j\u012f apib\u016bdina kaip sud\u0117tin\u012f rodikl\u012f, kuris \u201esujungia gav\u0117jo disbalans\u0105, OI spaudim\u0105, finansavim\u0105, ETF srautus, main\u0173 srautus ir kain\u0173 tendencijas \u012f vien\u0105 skal\u0119 nuo \u2013100 iki +100\u201c. Skai\u010dius yra ma\u017eiau svarbus nei juosta, kurioje jis s\u0117di. \u0160iuo metu jis sako, kad rezultatas yra \u201e+16,3, atitinkantis vir\u0161utin\u0119 neutralios zonos dal\u012f (nuo +15 iki +30).<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin re\u017eimo balas | \u0160altinis: Axel Adler Jr<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ir tas konkretus pozonas daro sunk\u0173 jo argument\u0105. \u201eAtgalinis 2025 m. patikrinimas rodo, kad \u0161is pozonis istori\u0161kai dav\u0117 +3,8% vidutin\u0119 gr\u0105\u017e\u0105 per 30 dien\u0173\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 Adleris, prie\u0161indamas j\u012f \u017eemiau pateiktais silpnesniais diapazonais. Jis taip pat atkreip\u0117 d\u0117mes\u012f \u012f tai, kad \u201eskirtingai nuo \u201315 iki 0 pozonio, kur laukiama gr\u0105\u017ea buvo neigiama (\u20131,5 % per 7 d.), nuo +15 iki +30 diapazonas buvo labiau atlaidi vieta rizikuoti.<\/p>\n

Taip pat verta atkreipti d\u0117mes\u012f \u012f tai, kaip greitai juosta gali apversti, nes jo paties diagramos rodo, kad tai jau buvo padaryta. Adleris teigia, kad \u0161is rodiklis \u201epasirod\u0117 neseniai \u012fvykusios kritimo faz\u0117s (prie\u0161 savait\u0119 nukrito iki \u201327) ir rodo, kad jis atsigauna\u201c. Prekybininkai atsi\u017evelgia \u012f tokias detales: ne tik tai, kur esate, bet ir kaip greitai ten pasiek\u0117te.<\/p>\n

Ta\u010diau \u010dia yra juokingoji dalis \u2013 \u201elabiausiai buli\u0173\u201c zona, jo bandymo metu, i\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 nebuvo \u201ebuliai\u201c d\u0117l gr\u0105\u017eos \u012f priek\u012f. Jis pa\u017eymi, kad \u201eper\u0117jimas prie formalaus \u201eBull\u201c re\u017eimo (+30 ir daugiau) istori\u0161kai sutapo su vietin\u0117mis vir\u0161\u016bn\u0117mis\u201c ir \u201eper 7 dienas dav\u0117 neigiam\u0105 vidutin\u0119 \u20133,3 % gr\u0105\u017e\u0105\u201c. Kitaip tariant, jei laukiate, kol indikatorius \u0161auks \u201ebuli\u0173 rinka\u201c, galite pirkti b\u016btent t\u0105 akimirk\u0105, kai visi kiti jau linksta taip pat.<\/p>\n

\u0160tai kod\u0117l Adleris daro gana prekybi\u0161k\u0105 i\u0161vad\u0105: dabartin\u0117 grup\u0117 gali b\u016bti geriausia vieta, nes ji yra optimisti\u0161ka ir nekelia euforijos.<\/p>\n

\u201eTai rei\u0161kia, kad dabartin\u0117 +15\u201330 zona gali b\u016bti optimali taktin\u0117ms pozicijoms, o agresyvus kaupimasis per\u017eengus +30 kelia didesn\u0119 rizik\u0105\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 jis.<\/p>\n

Tada yra i\u0161vestini\u0173 finansini\u0173 priemoni\u0173 pus\u0117 \u2013 dalis, kuri ramiai atrodan\u010di\u0105 rink\u0105 gali paversti staigiu svyravimu (arba \u017eemyn) vien d\u0117l to, kad svertas yra netinkamoje vietoje. Adlerio likvidavimo dominavimo osciliatorius \u0161iuo metu yra neigiamas, o tai jis supranta kaip trump\u0105 likvidavimo i\u0161krypim\u0105. „Osciliatoriaus dabartin\u0117 vert\u0117 nukrito \u012f neigiam\u0105 rib\u0105 (-11%), o 30 dien\u0173 slenkamasis vidurkis i\u0161lieka teigiamas (+10%). \u0160is skirtumas rodo, kad pastaruoju metu padid\u0117jo priverstini\u0173 trump\u0173j\u0173 pozicij\u0173 u\u017edarymas”, – ra\u0161\u0117 jis.<\/p>\n

Jis padvigubina savo antr\u0105j\u0105 statistik\u0105: \u201eIlgo likvidavimo dominavimas yra 44 %, ma\u017eesnis u\u017e 50 % pradin\u012f lyg\u012f, o tai patvirtina trumpalaiki\u0173 likvidacij\u0173 dominavim\u0105. Papras\u010diau tariant: daugiau \u0161ort\u0173 i\u0161traukiama, nei ilg\u0173 nu\u0161luostoma, o priverstinai u\u017esidaroma perkama.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
\u201eBitcoin Futures\u201c ilgalaiki\u0173 trumpalaiki\u0173 likvidacij\u0173 dominavimas | \u0160altinis: Axel Adler Jr<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Ir i\u0161 esm\u0117s jis yra toks: tai yra taktinis kuras. \u201eTrump\u0173 likvidacij\u0173 dominavimas sukuria taktin\u012f kurs\u0105, kad padid\u0117t\u0173\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 Adleris ir prid\u016br\u0117, kad \u0161i s\u0105ranka \u201esustiprina teigiam\u0105 re\u017eimo balo signal\u0105: rinka ne tik pateko \u012f zon\u0105, kurios laukiama istori\u0161kai teigiama gr\u0105\u017ea, bet ir sulaukia papildomos paramos i\u0161 i\u0161vestini\u0173 finansini\u0173 priemoni\u0173 strukt\u016bros\u201c.<\/p>\n

Vis d\u0117lto tai yra \u201eBitcoin\u201c, ir \u0161ios s\u0105rankos trunka ne am\u017einai. Adleris gana paprasta kalba netgi i\u0161d\u0117sto, kas j\u012f padaryt\u0173 negaliojan\u010diu. \u201eRe\u017eimo balo gr\u012f\u017eimas \u017eemiau nulio, kartu su likvidavimo osciliatoriaus perk\u0117limu \u012f teigiam\u0105 teritorij\u0105 (did\u0117jan\u010dios ilgos likvidacijos) signalizuot\u0173, kad dabartinis impulsas i\u0161sek\u0119s\u201c, \u2013 ra\u0161\u0117 jis. Vertimas: jei ilgesys pradeda b\u016bti baud\u017eiami, ta \u201easimetrija\u201c apsiver\u010dia.<\/p>\n

Kol kas jis tai vadina \u201ebullish neutrality\u201c momentu. Ne visi\u0161kai i\u0161silyd\u017eiusi teritorija, taip pat ne toks skaitymas, kuris r\u0117kia \u201evietinis vir\u0161us\u201c. Tiesiog langas, kuriame, jei rinka nori pasislinkti auk\u0161\u010diau met\u0173 pabaigoje, pad\u0117tis neatrodo, kad ji su ja kovos.<\/p>\n

Spaudos metu Bitcoin kaina siek\u0117 89 864 USD.<\/p>\n

\"Bitcoin
Bitcoin i\u0161lieka tarp 0,618 ir 0,786 Fib, 1 savait\u0117s diagrama | \u0160altinis: BTCUSDT svetain\u0117je TradingView.com<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Teminis vaizdas sukurtas naudojant DALL.E, diagrama i\u0161 TradingView.com<\/p>\n

\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/p>\n

Redakcinis procesas<\/strong> \u201eBitcoinist\u201c yra orientuota \u012f kruop\u0161\u010diai i\u0161tirto, tikslaus ir ne\u0161ali\u0161ko turinio teikim\u0105. Mes laikom\u0117s grie\u017et\u0173 tiekimo standart\u0173, o kiekvien\u0105 puslap\u012f kruop\u0161\u010diai per\u017ei\u016bri geriausi\u0173 technologij\u0173 ekspert\u0173 komanda ir patyr\u0119 redaktoriai. \u0160is procesas u\u017etikrina m\u016bs\u0173 turinio vientisum\u0105, aktualum\u0105 ir vert\u0119 m\u016bs\u0173 skaitytojams.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Nuoroda \u012f informacijos \u0161altin\u012f <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Patikima redakcija turinys, per\u017ei\u016br\u0117tas pirmaujan\u010di\u0173 pramon\u0117s ekspert\u0173 ir patyrusi\u0173 redaktori\u0173. Skelbimo atskleidimas \u201eBitcoin\u201c gali suklupti \u012f labai sezoni\u0161k\u0105 s\u0105rank\u0105 ne…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1173,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kripto-turtas"],"yoast_head":"\nBitkoinas patenka \u012f Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio mitingo lang\u0105, sako analitikas - NORDICCAB.LT<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nordiccab.lt\/index.php\/2025\/12\/22\/bitkoinas-patenka-i-kaledu-senelio-mitingo-langa-sako-analitikas\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"lt_LT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitkoinas patenka \u012f Kal\u0117d\u0173 Senelio mitingo lang\u0105, sako analitikas - NORDICCAB.LT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Patikima redakcija turinys, per\u017ei\u016br\u0117tas pirmaujan\u010di\u0173 pramon\u0117s ekspert\u0173 ir patyrusi\u0173 redaktori\u0173. 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